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denarot/README.md

Todd Denaro

Data Analyst · MS Business Analytics, University of California Irvine

denarot@uci.edu


I approach analytical problems through formal quantitative frameworks and deploy understanding through project work. My focus is applying rigorous methods — optimization, game theory, statistical modeling — to domains where structured analysis is underused.

Currently building fluency in Python and ML methods through direct project deployment rather than coursework alone. I learn by building something with the tool until the tool becomes transparent and the problem becomes the subject.


Featured Work

PoE2 Armour Optimization & Survivability Analysis

Formal derivation of the PoE2 armour damage-reduction formula, identifying the optimal 12–20× armour-to-life corridor and demonstrating that physical-to-elemental conversion mechanics change the calculus structurally. Includes a mathematical proof that 50% conversion is exactly 2× more mitigation-efficient than doubling armour — independent of hit size and armour value — and a full cross-archetype survivability comparison across Shaman, Smith of Kitava, and Witchhunter.

Delivered as a standalone interactive browser tool: character setup, damage simulation with conversion model, Witchhunter Sorcery Ward calculator, and a full DR reference matrix.

game-theory optimization quantitative-modeling interactive-html


Two-Phase Binned Parameter Search

An algorithm for identifying optimal k-values on monotonic objective functions without exhaustive search. Two-phase coarse-to-fine bin traversal locates the optimal region, then refines to a provably near-optimal k̂ estimate. Validated both theoretically (convergence guarantees) and empirically — reduces evaluation cost substantially relative to full enumeration while preserving solution quality bounds.

algorithms parameter-optimization python ML


Focus Areas

  • Market research & pricing strategy
  • Game theory & operations research
  • Process & workflow optimization
  • Applied ML & data science methods
  • AI as general-purpose infrastructure
  • Decision modeling under uncertainty

Tools & Methods

Python SQL pandas scikit-learn quantitative modeling optimization theory statistical analysis LaTeX data visualization


On AI & Automation

The correct response to AI's energy cost is clean energy at the infrastructure layer — not restraint from use.

I treat AI as a general-purpose technology: applicable across domains, with incremental computation costs on a long-run downward trajectory as the energy and cooling infrastructure matures. The sustainability question is real, but the solution lives at the generation and cooling layer — carbon-free energy and water-efficient cooling at scale — not in individual usage decisions made while that infrastructure is still being built.

What actually limits value extraction from AI is not access to the models — it is literacy and analytical structuring ability. The value of any human-AI collaboration scales directly with the operator's capacity for project decomposition, logical scaffolding, and moving fluidly between the micro and macro view of a problem. These are the binding constraints, and they are the ones worth investing in. Education and AI literacy are not gatekeepers in the exclusionary sense — they are amplifiers: the better you are at breaking down problems, the more work the tool can do.


UC Irvine MSBA · denarot@uci.edu · github.com/denarot

Popular repositories Loading

  1. Two_Phase_Binned_Parameter_Search_Empirical_Analysis_Report Two_Phase_Binned_Parameter_Search_Empirical_Analysis_Report Public

    An analysis on a novel(?) method of achieving optimal tree counts in a random forest model

    Python 1

  2. Path_of_Exile_2_Armour_Optimization_and_Survivability_Showcase Path_of_Exile_2_Armour_Optimization_and_Survivability_Showcase Public

    Quantitative survivability analysis for PoE2: Shaman vs Smith of Kitava vs Witchhunter, with interactive armour optimizer. Derives DR formula, conversion mechanics, and Sorcery Ward pooling from fi…

    HTML 1

  3. Week-03-AI-Firms-HR-AI-Methods-Programming-Assignment-2-Randomized-Control-Trials-RCT- Week-03-AI-Firms-HR-AI-Methods-Programming-Assignment-2-Randomized-Control-Trials-RCT- Public

    Assignment # 3

  4. Methods-Programming-Assignment-3-Time-Series-Difference-in-Difference-DID- Methods-Programming-Assignment-3-Time-Series-Difference-in-Difference-DID- Public

    Time Series & Difference-in-Difference (DID)

    Python

  5. Assignment-4-RDD-and-Instrumental-Variables Assignment-4-RDD-and-Instrumental-Variables Public

    Assignment #4 RDD and Instrumental Variables

    Python

  6. denarot denarot Public